Robbing the Blinds - Attack, Defence and Open Play - Part 4

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Open Play A solid approach to Blind Play allows you to freeroll in the other 4 positions when not stealing but there is no need to get carried away.
If your blind play is solid, the open play can be selectively aggressive.
You will already have a reasonable VPIP/PFR figure from your Blind stealing, so pick you spots for good, solid positional open play when you decide to go into battle.
A reasonable profit target for open play is 5bb over the 50 hands that do NOT fall into the blind stealing sector (17 in CO/BTN, 16 in SB and 17 in BB), so look at the available battle options and long term ROI carefully: * 60% ROI = 80/20 HU battles (80 - 20) * 40% ROI = 70/30 HU battles (70 - 30) * 20% ROI = 60/40 HU battles (60 - 40) You need to play 1 hand with 8.
3bb/12.
5bb/25bb invested at 60%/40%/20% ROI respectively to achieve your long term average EV.
You can expect to get JJ+/AQ+ (JJ or QQ or KK or AA or AQ or AK) at least once and each of these hands fall into the long term 20% - 60% ROI bracket for possible all-in HU battles.
There are other hands and 55/45 HU battles produce a 10% return for 50bb investment, but the approach is very selective, so there is no need to go chasing marginal situations.
Overall Summary This is a tactical plan, not an expected result for every session.
You must have a battle plan before you sit down at a table, but evaluate the situation and adjust as you play a session.
The short term variance can be cruel but a solid Bankroll is there to allow variance to be absorbed while your tactical strategy manages risk effectively and you focus on making good decisions at the table.
The goal of long term consistent profit is the result of thousands of good decisions and session wins/losses become insignificant as the volume of hands increases.
The expected and actual EV figures will also converge and looking at actual EV in the short term can have a destructive impact on your mental approach to the game because it requires large volume to normalise results.
Therefore make a plan, set targets, steal quietly and efficiently, avoid big battles without the goods to back it up and focus on reducing blind cost as a route to 'freerolling' in open play with selective aggression for long term success and profit.
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